Prediction market on Scooter Libby Pardon
Tim Finin, 1:00pm 10 March 2007Tagged under for what its worth…
Traders on the intrade prediction market think it’s much more likely that I. Lewis (Scooter) Libby will receive a pardon by the end of President Bush’s term than by the end of 2007. The market for a 2007 pardon closed this week at 16 whereas the price for a 2008 pardon closed at 64.1.
Of course some of the difference is that the second future includes the first. But the difference is fourfold, which is significant.
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