http://ebiquity.umbc.edu/blogger/2008/04/08/prediction-markets-go-for-obama/ EBB is the ebiquity research group\\\'s blog at the University of Maryland, Baltimore County (UMBC). We focus on technologies that facilitate the design, implementation and control of distributed, intelligent information systems -- mobile and pervasive computing, ad hoc networking, multiagent systems, knowledge representation and reasoning, and the semantic web. As the tides of technology ebb and flow, we hope the good ideas wash up on our beach and the bad ones drift back out to sea. Thu, 19 Nov 2009 00:39:45 -0500 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.8.4 hourly 1 http://ebiquity.umbc.edu/blogger/2008/04/08/prediction-markets-go-for-obama/comment-page-1/#comment-18834 joel Wed, 09 Apr 2008 11:29:26 +0000 http://ebiquity.umbc.edu/blogger/2008/04/08/prediction-markets-go-for-obama/#comment-18834 The situation is similar at the Iowa markets, but not identical. (Obama is at 81.) Earlier in the campaign, discrepancies were much greater. Such discrepancies are opportunities for arbitrage, and shouldn't exist in an efficient market. This suggests that no one's really trying to make money on these markets. I wonder how long that will last. The situation is similar at the Iowa markets, but not identical. (Obama is at 81.) Earlier in the campaign, discrepancies were much greater. Such discrepancies are opportunities for arbitrage, and shouldn’t exist in an efficient market. This suggests that no one’s really trying to make money on these markets. I wonder how long that will last.

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